Obama definitely did not like Bibi at all. It seems Biden doesn’t either. The amount that these kinds of personal issues between leaders have a bearing on geopolitics is probably understated in general. If you think about your own business deals, whether or not you get along with a person is a huge part of the equation.
That said, we really don’t know how functional Biden is. It was revealed by POLITICO last week that US officials were hiding information from Biden about exchanges between US war ships and Houthis in the Red Sea. So I think it’s generally fair to say he’s not very involved in any of this, just like he doesn’t seem to be very involved in anything.
This creates a difficult situation for kosher conservative warmongers, who have talked so much about how Biden is senile and are now trying to frame him as a pro-Palestine activist against Bibi (who also, for some reason, has given Israel a blank check to slaughter children).
It looks like that as much of a lunatic as Jake Sullivan is, and as stupid as he is, he and the people at the State Department are aware that a situation of “all the world’s Moslems against Israel as America tries to defend them” is something to be avoided. If the POLITICO report about hiding exchanges with the Houthis from Biden is true, it’s probably the reverse thing – that they don’t want Biden to go out there and escalate.
I do not think Sullivan or any single individual working at the State Department is a “moderate.” I think it’s just that Bibi’s proposition of “full war against all Moslems except maybe Saudi Arabia” is so insane that extreme warmongers are trying to get him to relax.
The Biden administration has told Israel that attacks intentionally or inadvertently against Lebanon’s armed forces are “unacceptable” over fears that the conflict in the Middle East could expand, according to a report.
US officials believe that since Oct. 7 at least 34 Israeli strikes have hit areas where members of the Lebanese Armed Forces were present, resulting in eight injuries and one death, CNN reported Friday.
“The United States has been clear we do not want to see this conflict spread to Lebanon and we continue to urge the Israelis do all they can to be targeted and avoid civilians, civilian infrastructure, civilian farmland, the UN, and the Lebanese Armed Forces,” a White House National Security Council spokesperson told the outlet.
It’s so funny that they have to release a public statement begging the Jews not to kill UN aid workers. That is so very funny to me.
“The United States is proud of its partnership with the LAF, an essential institution, not only to the stability and security of Lebanon, but of the entire region,” the spokesperson said.
The purported Israel Defense Forces strikes against the Lebanese military have come from small arms, artillery fire, drones and helicopters, according to CNN.
The Jews actually shelled residential neighborhoods in Lebanon.
Smoke rises following an Israeli shelling in Kafr Kila, Lebanon on Dec. 15, 2023.
It’s a pretty big deal.
Even though I think Sullivan and Blinken are trying to cool this situation off, Bibi holds all the cards. I’ve said many times: I think the Mossad was collecting blackmail on everyone in Washington. It’s possible that even explains the Epstein arrest. I’m not willing to go all-in on that theory, but there is still no explanation for why Epstein was arrested for crimes he’d already been tried for, but we do know the arrest was illegal.
It’s very possible that Epstein was an agent of Bibi, and was telling American Jews “oh, we’re all friends here, my Jewish brothers,” and then getting them on tape with these underage hookers. That seems probable to me, actually, and it would finally explain the mystery of the Epstein arrest.
The Epstein arrest haunted me. His death I think is not a big issue, I can understand that. The question for me was always why the Justice Department, run by the Jew William Barr, illegally arrested a Mossad agent.
For those who don’t know: he’d already been tried in federal court for the age of consent stuff, something to do with soliciting, and so on. He was convicted and served his sentence. The FBI then arrested him for the same crimes, which is called “double jeopardy,” and is illegal.
The general explanation is that Epstein had gone “off the reservation” somehow. That never made sense to me, as if that was the case, he simply could have been assassinated in a way that looked like an accident. He was traveling all over the world constantly. He was always on boats. it’s really easy to make a death look like an accident on a boat. (Ironically, Ghislaine Maxwell’s father, a Mossad agent, died on a boat and it was ruled an accident while foul play was heavily suspected.) Epstein was also often on private planes, which are also known to crash unexpectedly and require a long and confusing (often inconclusive) investigation to determine if there was foul play.
Killing him would have been very easy, without creating this weird scene. However, if Washington Jews wanted to question him on his work for Israel because they’d realized he was doing blackmail against fellow Jews, arresting him would have made sense. Then, of course, the Israel team, not wanting him to answer the questions, could have had him killed.
But that’s just a potentially interesting aside here. The real story is this core battle between Bibi and Washington, and the fact that Bibi appears to be holding all the cards, while Washington begs him to see reason. That is definitely happening, and it is spilling over into the public view more and more aggressively, as Washington seems to be flipping out.
This is very important: we know that Bibi allowed the October 7 attack to happen. That is confirmed.
See: BUSTED: American Jews Were Doing Insider Trading Before October 7 Hamas Attack
You can’t say Hamas was doing insider trading. That is too dumb. It has to have been Israel.
Also: if you tried to say it was the Iranians or whatever, you would then run into the problem that there is zero chance that the Mossad doesn’t monitor these kinds of trades, which would have put them on high alert.
The reason Bibi doing this on purpose is so important is that he did not do it just so he could kill a bunch of kids in Gaza. Instead, what it very much appears to me is that he is killing the kids in Gaza specifically to anger the rest of the Islamic world and provoke more attacks on Israel that he can then respond to by expanding the war and drawing in the US.
Do you follow me here?
This is very important to understand. I probably should have kept this cleaner instead of doing big asides about Epstein (though I do think the idea that Mossad is blackmailing American Jews and their shills is worth considering, given just how afraid everyone appears to be of him).
I think a lot of right-wing people just view all Jews as sort of like a hive mind acting in unison, but I don’t think this is the case at all. Of course they always stand with each other against non-Jews, but they also engage in constant power struggles between each other.
Bibi views himself as a messianic figure. He wants to go down in history as having asserted Jewish dominance over the region. The only way he can do that is by leveraging his influence over the United States to do a war with Iran. There are no other options. Israel and Iran cannot co-exist indefinitely, because Iran is a serious religious state that is run by serious men who seriously believe they are on a mission from God to free their holy lands from the Jews.
This is to say: there is no room for negotiation between Israel and Iran, and therefore for Israel to be secure, Iran has to be turned into some kind of secular state, or be overrun by Sunni terrorists.
What Israel believes, and what was the basis for the Abraham Accords, is that the Arab states and Turkey will tolerate their agenda. The problem here is that the Gaza slaughter probably makes it impossible for these states not to side with Iran in the event of Israel starting a war with Iran.
So, that is what I think the fundamental difference is between Bibi and Washington: Bibi thinks he can start a war with Iran without creating all-out war with all Moslems, and the US doesn’t think that.
Bibi is one man who has ruled Israel mostly unopposed for decades. (He’s had opposition recently, though frankly, the US was heavily involved in that.) Washington is a much bigger machine, with many more voices and also various conflicting interests. Bibi is in the stronger position, because none of the Jews will tolerate Israel being destroyed, meaning that no matter how they feel about Bibi, they will commit the entire US military to defending Israel if Bibi triggers more attacks on Israel.
I’m just going to tell you frankly: despite the casual style of the writing, this is the best commentary you will read on the Middle East situation, anywhere. I would like to write some essays outlining this in a more cogent fashion, but I probably won’t. As always, anyone is welcome to take these ideas and use them in their own materials.
It’s just a fact that my analysis is the best. Go read any of the major think tanks: they are all still obsessed with this “Sunni-Shia split,” and assert that it’s impossible for Saudi Arabia or Turkey to side with Iran against Israel. They are obsessed with this, and it is basically never questioned, ever. I’m saying that isn’t impossible, and I’m also saying that there are people in Washington who at least wonder if it is actually impossible.
The way think tanks operate is absurd. It is going to take them years to take into account how the opinions about Iran and Shias generally have changed in the last months as a result of Israel’s slaughter in Gaza.
I am not predicting total doom. I am actually very critical of total doom theory. But the thinking right now among Bibi and his supporters is to use the Houthis’ attacks on Israel and various ships to get Western forces into Yemen and then somehow turn that into a bombing of Iran and then figure out how to change the government of Iran. Maybe that will happen or maybe not. But that is Bibi’s thinking here.